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The Mortgage Loan Situation Drives Investors Towards Government Bonds
By Armand Glans
The mortgage situation is creating insecurity in the stockmarket all around the world. As I predicted and discussed before I think the market underestimate the help it will get from the softness in interest policy all around the world. FED seems to be first out with cutting interest helping the house and mortgage sector to have a soft landing which will holding up growth and ease off the insecurity we see in the stockmarket on a daily basis.
Most of the insecurity we see in the market today comes from the stress if the interest policy will change in a phase that will catch up the weakening growth that might be a fact if today’s mortgage situation will proceed from a credit squeeze towards a credit crunch which in my opinion is not an alternative cause the strong underlying global growth world wide and the big change the FED and other banks gone through the last couple of years with great independence in the focus they got of withholding the growth with inflation and job growth high on the agenda.
The insecurity in the stockmarket will move more money in to government bonds in the short perspective but as soon the market realize that the interests will be coming off and the low valuation of the overall stockmarket is consistent.
Consumption have in the financial history played an important role and what we see coming through the last couple of years is that countries with population that stands for an huge part of the world population is starting to get to a point where the overall consumers for the first time in the history of mankind, reached a level where they have the possibility to consume will change the map of prosperity.
Another aspect is that regions where the growth is strong the interest levels have historically speaking been high but in the last couple of years the interest levels on mortgage loans been coming down on more reasonable levels and the trend are intact. That will also be the case further on as long the policy of interests will be focusing on controlling the inflation and have a strong but healthy growth. An aspect of that is that consumers can start improving there wealth by taking loans, buying houses, apartments and making investments where they can in the long run improve there
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Turkey is an example of a country where the interest of mortgage loans been coming off for some time and the impact of the economy is strong when it comes to the overall growth and the willingness to invest from both Turkish investors and foreign investors all over the world.
The possibilities of taking on loans is driving the economy forward and of course there is times where the willingness on taking on risks will get out of hand but that’s what the interest policy of the specific country should handle to take the market back to a reasonable level when it comes to the willingness of taking on risks for new projects. Article Source: http://articles-galore.com Armand is blogging and writing articles about various aspects of the stockmarkets, monetizing by loan programs.
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